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๐ŸŒน Golden Tempo Wins Kentucky Derby 152 ๐ŸŒน

Daily to Derby

Your morning briefing on the road to the Kentucky Derby

Edition No. 30 ยท Saturday, May 9, 2026 ยท Road to Preakness ยท May 16 at Laurel Park

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Kentucky Derby 153 ยท Saturday, May 1, 2027

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The Other Side: Two Trainers Who Actually Did It Weigh In on the Triple Crown Debate

Saturday, May 9, 2026

The Other Side

Yesterday's edition laid out the data, which strongly makes the case for change. Many horsemen are on record with their feelings โ€” Brad Cox said he's "all for moving it," Chad Brown predicted "it is gonna change, certainly before my career is over," Mark Glatt said "tradition is tradition, but we live in a different world," and Bill Mott told Churchill Downs publicity that "nobody talks about the Preakness." NBC's Randy Moss called the Triple Crown "in intensive care."

Today we hear from the other side โ€” two trainers who ran a horse through multiple legs of the Triple Crown and came out the other side with the horse ready to do more great things.

Graham Motion

Graham Motion trained Animal Kingdom through all three legs in 2011. He won the Derby, ran second in the Preakness, and was sixth in the Belmont. In a public exchange on Twitter this week, Motion pushed back on the idea that horsemen universally want the spacing changed.

"I disagree, it's meant to be hard. I never thought twice about it, horse was great going into it."

He added: "I'm probably crazy but I actually enjoyed the challenge and my horse was doing great so I never thought twice about it. And I am definitely not questioning Cherie or Bill, they are both fantastic trainers. I do think it would be a shame if the spacing becomes too great because that is part of the challenge and what keeps people's attention."

He concluded with a sweet line: "There was nothing cooler than coming to Pimlico with the Derby winner."

Even Motion concedes the ground may be shifting: "I'm sure it's going to change at some point."

Michael McCarthy

Michael McCarthy trained Journalism through all three legs just last year โ€” second in the Derby, first in the Preakness in dramatic fashion, then second again in the Belmont. Journalism was so bothered by these exertions that he came back to win the Haskell six weeks later.

"I like the Kentucky Derby, two weeks Preakness, three weeks Belmont. I think it's meant to be tough. Obtaining those three races puts you in rarefied air."

On Journalism specifically: "Within 48 hours after the Kentucky Derby, I could not tell the difference between a horse that had run a mile and a quarter and not run a mile and a quarter. He was kind of a throwback type of a horse. He had the physical attributes and the constitution to handle three races in five weeks."

The simplest version: "We let him take us."

McCarthy is honest about the limits of his experience: "A sample of one is what I have. But that sample of one is a lot more than some of the other people that you'll interview."

What I Took Away

I thought it interesting that both Motion and McCarthy cited the "it's meant to be hard" argument that elsewhere I have noted as a canard, and it really made me think. When pressed, both men conceded my point that having most of the best three-year-olds in all three legs might make it harder to win, and McCarthy also brought up the idea that a later-blooming colt could be a fresh threat in the Belmont come summer. But I also came to understand something about their way of looking at the world โ€” for a trainer, especially a modern one, that challenge of having the right horse who can do the three races in five weeks is part of the appeal. I'll dive deeper into this idea and what I ultimately make of it in my next and final piece on this topic.

As for McCarthy, he's not opposed to change on principle: "If the Triple Crown changes and it's three races eight weeks apart or ten weeks apart, am I going to stop participating because of that? Absolutely not."

Where They Agree

The horse has to tell you. Motion's horse was great going in. McCarthy's horse was indistinguishable from a fresh horse 48 hours after the Derby. DeVaux's horse โ€” with documented minor heel issues along the trail to the Derby โ€” apparently wasn't giving her those signals. And Mott's two horses? He didn't even want to ask the question.

Quick Horse-by-Horse

I'm heading down to Monmouth Park as I type but wanted to get in a quick horse-by-horse analysis of the Peter Pan. If there's time I'll also do a few more races for our ITM Plus readers.

#1 TRENDSETTER is a runner of obvious interest coming off his win in the Grade 3 Lexington. The race two back in the Rushaway I have as better than it looked โ€” he attacked a fast pace before gassing out. He showed last day that when he moves more efficiently he can finish. There's a world in which he gets a beautiful setup behind dueling speeds โ€” the 2, 5, and 6 look like they'll go. Major player.

#2 AZAM is a recent Gulfstream maiden winner out of a race that wasn't particularly fast. The second-place finisher there came back to be second again at maiden level, so not a lot to go on. Has a progressive figure pattern and the barn has solid numbers but this is a big ask and could be tricky pace-wise.

#3 GROWTH EQUITY is your ML favorite despite his most recent win being at maiden level, but it's easy to see why โ€” that 89 figure he ran there is tops in the field and it's been franked since (the three runbacks all ran close to the same figure next out). I thought he ran a little inefficiently the start before โ€” close to a fast pace โ€” so you can upgrade that a little. He's an obvious win candidate but doesn't make a ton of appeal at 6/5. Franked figure or no, that was still just a four-horse field and now he's tangling with a graded winner who might just get the run of the race.

#4 โ€” SCRATCHED

#5 TALK TO ME JIMMY makes plenty of appeal in the sense that he was right up there on the hot pace that collapsed in the Wood. That race was very slow in terms of final time. Ocelli's Derby third obviously makes the Wood form look better, but you also have to remember that Ocelli is going to be one of the great race-shape downgrades of all time whenever he reappears. Normally TTMJ would be a near autobet going from a race like the Wood into a short-field Grade 3, but I worry that with speed on either side his job isn't going to be easy. He'll have to win the speed battle and hang around to see out the war. He's capable and will be on tickets, but I'm hedging.

#6 GULFY is a very important presence in this race even though I don't think he can win โ€” reformed claimer just doesn't look fast enough. So why is he so important? The pace scenario. He is always up among the leaders and his pace figures suggest he is fast enough to give trouble to whomever else wants the front end. I suppose he could try to settle outside and stalk here, but his rider, Kendrick Carmouche, is very aggressive, and his best chance, such as it is, is probably just to blitz 'em like they do to newbies over at chess.com.

VERDICT: Call me Captain Obvious but I'll go with #1 TRENDSETTER. For me the main danger is #5 Talk To Me Jimmy, and I'll key the top pick in exactas with him and #3 Growth Equity. I'll use all three in the horizontals in that order of preference as well.

Coverage continues right here at dailytoderby.com through the Triple Crown.

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Field Snapshot

Draw is Monday, May 11. Post time May 16, 6:45 PM ET on NBC at Laurel Park. Limited to 14 starters with 17-18 possibles โ€” some are getting left out.

Top tier: Crude Velocity (9/5), Silent Tactic (4/1-5/1), Taj Mahal (6/1-8/1), Ocelli (7/1-10/1)
Middle: Iron Honor, Chip Honcho, Cherokee Nation, Napoleon Solo
Also in: The Hell We Did, Corona de Oro, Great White, Express Kid, Talkin, Pretty Boy Miah, Crupper, Bull by the Horns, Potente, Robusta

๐Ÿ‘‰ What Does the Data Say About the Triple Crown Conversation (yesterday)

๐Ÿ‘‰ Is The Triple Crown Schedule Actually a Problem? โ€” PTF and Randy Moss

๐Ÿ‘‰ Preakness Top 5 โ€” PTF and JK

๐Ÿ‘‰ Is It Time for Fixed Odds in Horse Racing? with Marshall Gramm

๐Ÿ‘‰ Who Was Best in Kentucky Derby 2026? with Total Performance Data

๐Ÿ‘‰ Browse all 30 Daily to Derby editions

When two people who've done the same hard thing disagree about whether it should stay hard โ€” who's right?

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